UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both men come into this fight career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there’s a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and relies on finishing competitions. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio for a outcome. On the toes both guys can get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is very likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the feet with a riskier style. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. This strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and look for excursions and takedowns into the mat in which he favours top and control position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to win 1.70 Units.
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